Book

2014. Confronting the Curse: The Economics and Geopolitics of Natural Resource Governance. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics (with Marcus Noland). Available at Amazon and Barnes & Noble.

 

Peer-Reviewed Articles

2017. "The Streetlight Effect in Climate Change Research on Africa." Global Environmental Change 43: 137-147. Replication data.

2016. “A House Divided: Regime Factionalism and Repression in Africa.” Journal of Conflict Resolution (with Idean Salehyan). Replication data.

2015. “Oil Prices and Interstate Conflict.” Conflict Management and Peace Science. Replication data.

2015. “No News is Good News? Mark and Recapture for Event Data When Reporting Probabilities are Less than One.”  International Interactions 41 (2): 392-406 (with Idean Salehyan).

2015. “Global Food Prices, Regime Type, and Protest in the Developing World.” Journal of Peace Research 52 (2): 143-157 (with Stephan Haggard).

2014. “Trends and Triggers Redux: Climate Change, Rainfall and Interstate Conflict.” Political Geography 43 (1): 27-39 (with Colleen Devlin[1]).

2014. “Climate Shocks and Political Violence.” Global Environmental Change 28: 239-250 (with Idean Salehyan).

2014. “State Capacity and Terrorism: A Two-Dimensional Approach.” Security Studies 23 (2): 329-363 (with Joseph K. Young).

2014. “Knowing Your Audience: How the Structure of International Relations and Organizational Choices Affect Amnesty International's Advocacy.” Review of International Organizations 9 (1): 29-58 (with Wendy H. Wong).

2013. “Food Security and Conflict Dynamics.” Stability: International Journal of Security and Development 2 (2): 26 (with Henk-Jan Brinkman).

2013. “When is the Pen Truly Mighty? Regime Type and the Efficacy of Naming and Shaming in Curbing Human Rights Abuses.” British Journal of Political Science 43 (3): 651-672 (with Wendy H. Wong).

2012. “Social Conflict in Africa: A New Database.” International Interactions 38 (4): 503-511 (with Idean Salehyan, Jesse Hamner, Christina Case[2], Christopher Linebarger[3], Emily Stull[4], and Jennifer Williams[5]).

2012. “Climate Change, Rainfall, and Social Conflict in Africa.” Journal of Peace Research 49 (1): 35-50 (with Idean Salehyan).

2012. “Civil War: Is it All About Disease and Xenophobia? A Comment on Letendre, Fincher & Thornhill.” Biological Reviews 87 (1): 163-167 (with Kristian Skrede Gleditsch).

2011. “Civil Conflict and World Fisheries, 1952-2004.” Journal of Peace Research 48 (4): 481-495 (with Sarah M. Glaser).

·             Winner, Nils Petter Gleditsch Journal of Peace Research Article of the Year.

2011. “Head for the Hills? Rough Terrain, State Capacity, and Civil War Onset.” Civil Wars 13 (4): 345-370.

2010. “Measuring State Capacity: Theoretical and Empirical Implications for the Study of Civil Conflict.” Journal of Peace Research 47 (3): 273-285. Translated into Spanish and reprinted in Capacidades estatales: Diez textos fundamentales (Buenos Aires: Latin American Development Bank, 2015).

2007. “Trends and Triggers: Climate, Climate Change, and Civil Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa.” Political Geography 26 (6): 695-715 (with Sarah M. Glaser).

 

Other Publications (Policy Briefs, Commentary, etc.)

2017. "Kicking a Crude Habit: Diversifying Away from Oil and Gas in the 21st Century." Peterson Institute for International Economics Working Paper 17-2.

2016. Protectionism in the 2016 Election: Causes and Consequences, Truths and Fictions.” Peterson Institute for International Economics Policy Brief 16-20.

2016. Putting Environmental Stress (Back) on the Mass Atrocities Agenda.” Stanley Foundation Policy Analysis Brief, October 11.

2016. “When Hunger Strikes: How Food Security Abroad Matters for National Security at Home.” Chicago Council on Global Affairs Research Brief, April 7.

2016. “Rough Patches on the Silk Road? Security Implications of China’s Belt and Road Initiative.” In China’s Belt and Road Initiative: Motives, Scope and Challenges. Peterson Institute for International Economics Briefing 16-2, pp. 25-30.

2016. “Agriculture.” In Assessing the Trans-Pacific Partnership, Volume 1: Market Access and Sectoral Issues. Peterson Institute for International Economics Briefing 16-1, pp. 41-59.

2015. “Myanmar: Cross-Cutting Governance Challenges.” Asian Development Bank Economics Working Papers Series No. 428, Manila, Philippines: Asian Development Bank. Published also by Peterson Institute for International Economics as “Myanmar: Cross-Cutting Governance Challenges.” Peterson Institute for International Economics Working Paper 15-2.

2014. “Water and Security in Niger and the Sahel.CCAPS Research Brief No. 24, Strauss Center for International Security and Law, UT Austin.

2014. “Can Natural Disasters Precipitate Peace?” CCAPS Research Brief No. 21, Strauss Center for International Security and Law, UT Austin (with Aleksandra Egorova).

2014. “Oil Prices and Interstate Conflict Behavior.” Peterson Institute for International Economics Working Paper 14-3.

2014. “Managing Myanmar’s Resource Boom to Lock in Reforms.” Peterson Institute for International Economics Policy Brief 14-11 (with Marcus Noland).

2013. “Trends and Triggers: Climate Change and Interstate Conflict.” CCAPS Research Brief No. 21, Strauss Center for International Security and Law, UT Austin (with Colleen M. Devlin and Brittany Franck).

2013. “Climate Change, Global Food Markets, and Urban Unrest.” CCAPS Research Brief No. 7, Strauss Center for International Security and Law, UT Austin.

2012. “Food Insecurity and Conflict Dynamics: Causal Linkages and Complex Feedbacks.” Background paper for the FAO-WFP High Level Expert Forum on Food Insecurity in Protracted Crises (with Henk-Jan Brinkman).

2012. “Climate Shocks and Political Violence: Beyond Scarcity, Beyond Africa.” CCAPS Research Brief No. 3, Strauss Center for International Security and Law, UT Austin (with Idean Salehyan).

2012. “A Population-Centric View of Social, Political, and Economic Indicators of a Fragile State.” In National Security Challenges: Insights from Social, Neurobiological, and Complexity Sciences, SMA White Paper, Department of Defense.

2011. “Applying Hubbert Curves and Linearization to Rock Phosphate.” Peterson Institute for International Economics Working Paper 11-18.

2011. “Markets vs. Malthus: Food Security and Global Economy.” Peterson Institute for International Economics Policy Brief 11-12.

2011. “Food Insecurity and Violent Conflict: Causes, Consequences, and Addressing the Challenges.” World Food Programme Occasional Papers No. 24 (with Henk-Jan Brinkman).

2011. “The Brewing Storm? Climate Change, Rainfall, and Social Conflict in Africa.” CCAPS Research Brief No. 2, Strauss Center for International Security and Law, UT Austin (with Idean Salehyan).

2010. “Science and the International Politics of Climate Change.” Whitehead Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations 11(2): 7-20 (with Idean Salehyan).

2010. “Food Insecurity and Conflict: Applying the WDR Framework.” Background paper for the World Bank’s World Development Report 2011: Conflict, Security and Development (with Henk-Jan Brinkman).

 

Book Chapters

2016. “Agriculture.” In The Trans-Pacific Partnership: An Assessment. Cathleen Cimino-Isaacs and Jeffrey Schott, eds. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.

2016. “Environment and Conflict.” In What Do We Know About Civil Wars? Sara McLaughlin Mitchell and T. David Mason, eds. Boulder, CO: Rowman & Littlefield (with Scott Gates and Halvard Buhaug).

2007. “Zimbabwe.” In Civil Wars of the World: Major Conflicts since World War II, Uk Heo and Karl DeRouen, eds. Santa Barbara, CA: ABC‐CLIO (with Idean Salehyan).

 

BLOG POSTS

Symposium: Oil and International Politics, May 3, 2016Political Violence @ a Glance.

Why Engagement Can’t Wait—Walt on Tenure and Bridging the Gap, February 23, 2016. Political Violence @ a Glance.

Does Emergency Food Assistance Prolong Conflict?, November 24, 2015Political Violence @ a Glance.

The Problem with the Problem of Bridging the Gap, September 22, 2015. Political Violence @ a Glance.

Google Scholar Metrics and Scholarly Productivity in International Relations, August 6, 2015Duck of Minerva.

Does Democracy Constrain Rulers or Pacify Dissidents?, July 21, 2015Political Violence @ a Glance.

Extractive Industries in Violent Contexts: A Conversation with Luke Danielson, May 19, 2015Political Violence @ a Glance.

Where is the Muslim Gandhi?, April 14, 2015Political Violence @ a Glance.

In Food Riots, Researchers Find a Divide Between Democracies and Autocracies, February 24, 2015New Security Beat.

Falling Oil Prices, More Peace?, December 3, 2014The Monkey Cage.

Opportunity Costs: Evidence Suggests Variability, Not Scarcity, Primary Driver of Water ConflictNew Security Beat.

How 'Rogue' is China's Aid?, June 10, 2014The Monkey Cage.

Do Natural Disasters Fuel Unrest?, November 19, 2013Political Violence @ a Glance.

 

 

[1] Undergraduate student.

[2] Graduate student.

[3] Graduate student.

[4] Graduate student.

[5] Undergraduate student.